IndyMac under conservatorship
Friday, July 11 2008
Breaking news after market close – Indymac belly-up!
After market close on Friday, the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) closed the $32 billion IndyMac Bank, and transferred operations to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).
IndyMac Bancorp Inc., the holding company for IndyMac Bank, has been struggling to raise capital as the housing slump deepens.Depositors will have no access to banking services online and by telephone this weekend, but will continue to have access to their funds this weekend by ATM, through other debit card transactions and by writing checks. Online banking and phone banking services will be available again on Monday.
“This institution failed today due to a liquidity crisis,” OTS Director John Reich said. “Although this institution was already in distress, I am troubled by any interference in the regulatory process.”
IndyMac is the largest OTS-regulated thrift ever to fail and, according to FDIC data, the second largest financial institution to close in U.S. history.
IndyMac had been in a precarious financial situation since August of 2007. The OTS had significant concerns with the bank’s funding strategy, had directed appropriate changes and was finalizing a new set of enforcement actions to address its numerous problems.
As a result of an OTS examination that began in January 2008, the OTS deemed IndyMac to be in troubled condition.
IndyMac had reacted to market conditions and OTS concerns in November 2007 by changing its operations and business plan to build a foundation for recovery. IndyMac was actively seeking to arrange a significant capital infusion or find a buyer. The recent release of the senator’s letter undermined the public confidence essential for a financial institution and took away the time IndyMac needed to pursue a recovery.
With no viable alternatives and insufficient liquidity, IndyMac was placed into receivership. The OTS has appointed the FDIC as conservator of the newly chartered successor institution and will transfer most of the assets and liabilities of IndyMac to the new thrift.
Depositors’ accounts at IndyMac are insured by the FDIC’s Deposit Insurance Fund up to the statutory limits.
ON HINDSIGHT
I decide to have a look at the monthly and weekly charts of IndyMac Bancorp (due to copyright I cannot post the charts). Based on market price movements, the monthly trend already signaled a downtrend about a year ago with another signal to sell early this year. The trend has been going down until now, having eroded its price value from USD36.00 to USD0.27 in one year.
I then look back over five similar failures of other financial institutions such as Franklin National in October 1974, Penn Square in July 1982, Continental Illinois in July 1884, First Republic Bank in July 1988 and Bank of New England in January 1991.
In spite of proclamations of doom at the times, the failures tended to be climactic events. The average return of S&P500 6 months after such failures was +19.5%. The average loss for same period was -2.0%, with a gain of 10 times in comparison.
Will we see a similar process with Indymac? Too early to tell.
We may see Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac facing similar fates which I post recently at:
Probably, we will see the same kind of washout, long overdue.



