Ana_Idkit

Ana Wang Investment Weblog

Index speculators, a new breed

michael-masters-written-testimony

This excerpt of a Testimony by Michael W Masters before the US Senate has been submitted by NicT of HK which I reproduce hereunder:

What we are experiencing is a demand shock coming from a new category of participant in the commodities futures markets: Institutional Investors. Specifically, these are Corporate and Government Pension Funds, Sovereign Wealth Funds, University Endowments and other Institutional Investors. Collectively, these investors now account on average for a larger share of outstanding commodities futures contracts than any other market participant.

These parties, who I call Index Speculators, allocate a portion of their portfolios to “investments” in the commodities futures market, and behave very differently from the traditional speculators that have always existed in this marketplace. I refer to them as “Index” Speculators because of their investing strategy: they distribute their allocation of dollars across the 25 key commodities futures according to the popular indices – the Standard & Poors – Goldman Sachs Commodity Index and the Dow Jones – AIG Commodity Index.

Please read more at link at the top of page.

It is educational for readers/traders to understand why commodity prices keep rising in spite of ample supply.

Here is a  bonus to go with the abovementioned article -  NUGGET OF TRADING WISDOM: 2% Rule

The 2 % rule is a basic tenet of “risk management” or “capital preservation” as they are more descriptive than “money management”.

Larry Hite, in Jack Schwager’s Market Wizards (1989), mentions two lessons :

  1. Never bet your lifestyle  ie never risk a large chunk of your capital on a single trade.
  2. Always know what the worst possible outcome is.

Hite goes on to describe his 1 % rule which he applies to a wide range of markets. This has since been adapted by short-term equity traders as the 2% rule:

The 2 Percent Rule: Never risk more than 2 percent of your capital on any one stock.

This means that a drawdown  of 10 consecutive losses would only consume 20% of your capital.

Leave a comment

You must be logged in to post a comment.